I’ve got data from the MODIS satellite passes at 2214 last night and at 0230 this morning.
They show further expansion in the southern part of the fire, mostly to the southwest and seat, but also to the west:
All of the new peripheral hot spots are of low intensity:
Some of the peripheral activity could be back burns, although I’m uncertain about whether they’d do that at night.
I have overnight VIIRS radiant power readings, but not the aging data, so the map is hard to interpret. VIIRS does drop out the old readings sooner than MODIS, which makes it better for looking for new fire activity.
That green square is worrisome, but it lines up with a MODIS reading from yesterday, so I don’t think it is new.
Looking at the fire from the east:
White Rock is near some of the new activity:
So are homes in Rancho San Carlos:
There is one new hot spot in the Carmel Highlands. Here are two views of it:
As of 0730: 31,386 acres – 15% contained
The reason the percent contained numbers rise slowly or are in some cases flat day-to-day is not that there has been little containment progress, but because the perimeter of the fire is increasing. The numerator is going up, but so is the denominator.
MODIS image in the visible bands from 1240 yesterday. The smoke goes as far south as Santa Barbara:
Close up of yesterday’s MODIS image, showing not much in the way of local wind. The Carmel Valley is socked in, and the Salinas Valley is heavily affected.
Yesterday’s MODIS image in the red, near IR, and UV bands (false color) actually shows the flames from the fire:
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