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Monterey County had 100 cases reported yesterday

June 28, 2020 Jim Leave a Comment

The headline is the big news, but there should be an asterisk. Only five cases were reported the day before, so the average of the two days is a bit higher than we’ve been seeing. And yesterday’s numbers were driven by increased testing.

I’ll explain:

See that dot way up high on the right? That is yesterday’s report. The dot down at the bottom that almost lines up with yesterday from left to right is the previous day’s low report.

The vast majority of the 100 infections reported yesterday were in Salinas and South County, with the Peninsula and Big Sur reporting 2 cases and North County 4.

In spite of yesterday’s cases, the 7-day moving average doubling time is still running in the low 20 days, which is a bit better than it was a couple of weeks ago.

The number of tests performed yesterday is down from its peak, but up from the day before yesterday.

This may be the most ominous graph. The 7-day averaged positivity ratio is headed up again.

Statewide, the recent spike in caseload continues:

Deaths are not following — yet:

Part of this is lag time, and part of it is that the demographics of the people being infected recently is skewing younger than before.

Hospitalization continue their climb:

And testing hovers shy of 100,000 tests per day, so the positivity rate is rising somewhat:

 

The Bleeding Edge

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