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Cases may have peaked in California, but not in Monterey County

August 3, 2020 Jim Leave a Comment

Yesterday’s Department of public health statistics show that cases may have peaked;

But in Monterey County, the trend is still upwards:

That is in spite of Monterey County doing less testing than the state as a whole:

There appears to be a peak forming in hospitalizations statewide:

 

However, deaths continue to rise statewide:

The California case fatality rate continues to fall:

 

There are five likely reasons for this:

  • Demographics skewing younger
  • Better treatment increasing survival rates
  • Better treatment increasing time from infection until death
  • Mask usage reducing viral loads
  • More testing increasing the denominator

California is tracking the country as a whole in population-normalized deaths:

Monterey County contact tracing continues to be way behind the curve, with 2.4 contacts per case.

 

The Bleeding Edge

← Monterey County falls behind in testing, contacts The test results logjam in California begins to break up →

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