The Bleeding Edge

It's been almost three weeks since I crunched the Covid-19 numbers for the US, California, and Monterey County, and that's been enough for clear trends to become apparent. In none of the locales does the growth continue to be exponential. Nationwide, the daily new cases … [Read more...]

It's been a couple of weeks since I posted stats on the Covid-19 epidemic. I've been waiting for the numbers to show something definitive. They are tantalizingly close, but at present we can't say whether we've hit the peak or not. I'll show you what I've got, and I'll venture … [Read more...]

This is an update of last week's post on the spread of Covid-19 infections and deaths in the US, California, and Monterey County. I've introduced a few refinements to the graphs. The first graph is of the growth of the daily counts of confirmed cases and deaths. It is almost … [Read more...]

The California Department of Public Health publishes cumulative figures for number of Covid-19 tests performed in addition to their confirmed case numbers. I've been looking at that data, and much of it has me scratching my head. Take a look at this: The blue dots … [Read more...]

I've been frightened and shocked by the Covid-19 epidemic's rapid spread. I've been trying to make sense of how we're doing in our fight against it, and many of the graphs that I've seen on the web haven't helped much. I started making some of my own, using public databases. … [Read more...]