The Bleeding Edge

For the last few days, the newspapers have been full of reports of a "second wave" of Covid-19 cases in some states. California has been mentioned as one of those states. Using the California Department of Public Health's numbers, I conclude that there is good news and bad … [Read more...]

Shockingly high daily reported case numbers from the Monterey County Department of public health: 61 cases reported yesterday, almost double the previous high day. Seven-day weighted moving average positivity ratio is now more that twice the statewide metric. 30 of the 61 cases … [Read more...]

The California Department of Public Health's recent data shows an uptick in daily new cases that is similar to what's happening in Monterey County. However, the daily death toll is falling slowly: Today's Monterey County Department of Public Health numbers show the … [Read more...]

Monterey County Department of Public Health has revised their Covid-19 website, and they now provide two sorting of the cases-by-day information: one by when the case was first reported, and another by the day of onset of first symptoms. The second changes a lot from day to day. … [Read more...]

It's been almost three weeks since I crunched the Covid-19 numbers for the US, California, and Monterey County, and that's been enough for clear trends to become apparent. In none of the locales does the growth continue to be exponential. Nationwide, the daily new cases … [Read more...]