Monterey County cases continue to climb: But the doubling time is getting longer, which means were falling behind exponential growth -- a good thing. But the testing positivity rate is climbing, which means we're not testing enough: The … [Read more...]
Archives for July 2020
Covid-19 and California Health care workers
The California Department of Public Health provides morbidity and mortality data for health care workers afflicted by Covid-19. I did some analysis today. The cumulative case history: Growth is approximately linear, with a slight increase in the last month or … [Read more...]
Is California’s falling CFR mostly due to demographics?
The case fatality rate (CFR), the number of people who have died from the Covid-19 over the number of people whose infection has been confirmed, has been falling for months. The demographics of the infected patients has been changing, too. The percentage of infected people … [Read more...]
Caseload, positivity rises in California, Monterey County, and US
We've seen a bit of caseload flattening in some of the south and southwest, but not in California or Monterey county. Here's a composite view, normalized for population: Here are the individual plots: I've had some people tell me that the … [Read more...]
California, Monterey County caseload continue increase
This morning's report for the Monterey County DPH shows 29 cases reported yesterday. That's much lower than we've been seeing for the last few days, but the 7-day moving average is still near its all-time high. The big surprise was the reporting of 19 new cases in the "other" zip … [Read more...]